Tariffs—taxes imposed on imported goods—can impact the insurance industry in both direct and indirect ways, even though the connection isn’t always obvious at first glance. Here’s a breakdown of how tariffs might affect the insurance landscape:
1. Increased Costs for Insured Businesses
• Impact on Property & Casualty Insurance: If tariffs raise the cost of goods and materials (like steel, aluminum, machinery, or vehicles), businesses face higher replacement or repair costs. That, in turn, raises the insured value of those items and can lead to:
• Higher premiums
• Greater claims severity
• Example: A manufacturer that pays more for imported equipment due to tariffs may need higher coverage limits and face longer replacement timelines.
2. Supply Chain Disruptions
• Impact on Business Interruption Insurance: Tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, causing delays and shutdowns.
• This increases the likelihood of business interruption claims.
• Insurers may reprice or restrict this coverage due to increased risk.
3. Economic Slowdowns
• Impact on Premium Volume & Loss Ratios:
• Tariffs can slow economic growth by increasing consumer prices and reducing demand.
• Slower growth often results in fewer policies being written (lower premium revenue).
• Certain sectors like construction, manufacturing, and logistics may pull back, reducing demand for commercial insurance.
4. Impact on Specific Lines
• Marine & Cargo Insurance:
• Lower import/export volumes mean less demand for marine and cargo coverage.
• Credit Insurance:
• Tariffs can lead to bankruptcies if companies can’t absorb higher costs, raising credit insurance claims.
• Political Risk Insurance:
• If tariffs escalate into trade wars, demand for political risk insurance might rise for businesses operating internationally.
5. Reinsurance & Investment Returns
• Reinsurance Costs:
• Global reinsurers may raise prices if systemic risks from trade disruptions grow.
• Investment Portfolios:
• Tariff-related market volatility can impact the investment income of insurers, which plays a big role in profitability.
While tariffs may seem far removed from the world of insurance, their ripple effects can create real challenges for businesses and insurers alike. From rising premiums and supply chain disruptions to increased risks across global markets, it’s essential to stay informed about how economic shifts can impact your coverage needs.
At Aspen Gold Insurance Brokers, we help businesses navigate these complex changes with confidence. Whether you’re in manufacturing, logistics, or another industry affected by tariffs, our team is here to ensure your policies are aligned with today’s risks and tomorrow’s goals. Contact us today to review your coverage and make sure you’re protected—no matter what global trends come your way.